Analysis that reads the data behind the headline.
The Great Contraction: OECD DAC Preliminary ODA Data 2025
Official Development Assistance from DAC members fell 23.1% in real terms in 2025 to $174.3 billion — the largest annual contraction in the 66-year history of ODA reporting. The United States drove three-quarters of the decline with a record 56.9% cut, the single largest reduction by any provider in any year. Germany became the world's largest donor for the first time, surpassing the US by just $135 million — a crown earned by default as its own ODA fell 17.4%. Humanitarian aid collapsed by 35.8% to $15.5 billion, while Ukraine received more ODA ($44.9B including EU Institutions) than all 44 least developed countries combined ($28.1B). Only 4 of 33 DAC members now meet the 0.7% GNI target. OECD projects a further 5.8% decline in 2026. Non-DAC providers bucked the trend, growing 4.5% to $13.3 billion, led by UAE (+55.5%) and Qatar (+23.4%).
Middle East Situation Update #3
The regional crisis triggered by the 28 February 2026 US-Israeli military offensive against Iran has displaced an estimated 4.25 million people internally acros…
Syria's Shelter & Displacement Landscape: A Cross-Sectoral Analysis
A comprehensive analysis of Syria's shelter and displacement landscape following the December 2024 political transition. With 5.96 million people still internal…
The State of Humanitarian Data
Humanitarian data availability fell to 68% across active crisis operations in 2025 — down from 74% — as unprecedented funding cuts eliminated data staff, disban…
Area-Based Child Protection Risk Analysis: Ukraine
Armed conflict, mass displacement, and deepening poverty have created a child protection crisis in Ukraine that differs sharply from one oblast to the next. Thi…